Nueva Chicagovs
San Martin S.J.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nueva Chicago 0-0 San Martin S.J., with an exact score probability of 33%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nueva Chicago 1-1 San Martin S.J.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.8% | 28.9% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 33.0% | 36.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.2% | 34.4% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw 1.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Nueva Chicago 0–0 San Martin S.J.
Exact score probability: 33%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nueva ChicagoLLLWD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.DDLLW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.
23.5Attack35.3
67.6Defence66.7
35.3Form46.1
44.3Power51.6
0.50xG0.65