Nueva Chicagovs
Quilmes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nueva Chicago 0-0 Quilmes, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nueva Chicago 1-0 Quilmes
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.7% | 25.8% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 31.9% | 37.7% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 36.4% | 36.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Projected Score
Nueva Chicago 0–0 Quilmes
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nueva ChicagoLLLLL
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
QuilmesLLWDW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nueva ChicagoQuilmes
24.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence71.6
35.8Form39.5
44.4Power49.3
0.45xG0.63