Nueva Chicagovs
Patronato
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 9/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nueva Chicago 0-0 Patronato, with an exact score probability of 37%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nueva Chicago 1-1 Patronato
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.6% | 35.1% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 32.2% | 38.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.83 · Draw 1.83 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Projected Score
Nueva Chicago 0–0 Patronato
Exact score probability: 37%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nueva ChicagoLWLLL
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
PatronatoDDLWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Nueva ChicagoPatronato
24.1Attack26.4
67.8Defence65.5
36.8Form34.5
44.9Power44.3
0.54xG0.47