Nueva Chicagovs
Midland
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 4/13/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nueva Chicago are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Midland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20