Nueva ChicagovsGimnasia Y Tiro

Nueva Chicago are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Y Tiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Y Tiro hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.