Nueva Chicagovs
Deportivo Maipu
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 10/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Nueva Chicago 0-0 Deportivo Maipu, with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nueva Chicago 0-1 Deportivo Maipu
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.7% | 28.1% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.75 | 33.2% | 35.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.2% | 36.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Nueva Chicago 0–0 Deportivo Maipu
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nueva ChicagoWDLWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Deportivo MaipuWDDDL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Nueva ChicagoDeportivo Maipu
24.7Attack40.9
68.8Defence66.7
38.7Form47.3
46.2Power52.9
0.53xG0.72