Copa ChileCopa Chile
Thursday, 25 June 2026Last updated 14:59
Nublense

Nublense

Home
DW
42
Full time
Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad de Concepcion

Away
WL
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Universidad de Concepcion38%
Nublense37%
Draw24%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Nublense
Win probability
Nublense
37%
Draw
24%
Universidad de Concepcion
38%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nublense
54
Universidad de Concepcion
34
Defence
Nublense
66
Universidad de Concepcion
82
Momentum
Nublense
67
Universidad de Concepcion
50
Danger (xG)
Nublense
1.35
Universidad de Concepcion
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nublense)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Universidad de Concepcion)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Nublense)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Universidad de Concepcion)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NublenseNublense
WDWWL
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
WLLL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Nublense37%
Draw24%
Universidad de Concepcion38%

Universidad de Concepcion leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nublense head into this in Copa Chile fixture at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas in mixed form (DW), while Universidad de Concepcion arrive in mixed form (WL). Nublense have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Universidad de Concepcion over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Nublense (66/100) and Universidad de Concepcion (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Nublense have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Universidad de Concepcion have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Nublense have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 3.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Nublense to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Nublense 3749%, Draw 2420%, Universidad de Concepcion 3831%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Nublense 2Draws 00 Universidad de Concepcion
Avg goals: 3.5BTTS in 1/2
1 Jul 2026
Nublense
W10
Universidad de Concepcion
26 Jun 2026
Nublense
W42
Universidad de Concepcion

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Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts Nublense to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more