GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Nublense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Universidad de Concepcion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nublense

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NublenseLLDWD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad de ConcepcionWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
43.1Attack24.1
58.8Defence44.4
51.0Form35.2
53.1Power37.7
1.61xG0.57
View match centre →