GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 4/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nublense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NublenseDDWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Universidad de ChileWWDLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NublenseUniversidad de Chile
43.1Attack42.6
58.8Defence77.8
51.0Form61.1
53.1Power62.1
0.71xG0.99
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