Nublensevs
Universidad de Chile
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 4/12/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nublense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60