Nublensevs
U. Catolica
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 3/1/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
U. Catolica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nublense are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while U. Catolica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and U. Catolica hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Primera División, while U. Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
U. Catolica
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
12.2%
U. Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40