Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Nublense

Nublense

Home
DW
20
Full time
Palestino

Palestino

Away
LDLW
Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas
GoalVio prediction
Too close to call
No clear favourite

The model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.

Nublense36%
Palestino35%
Draw29%
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Nublense
36%
Draw
29%
Palestino
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nublense
54
Palestino
64
Defence
Nublense
66
Palestino
46
Momentum
Nublense
67
Palestino
33
Danger (xG)
Nublense
1.35
Palestino
1.57
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Nublense)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Palestino)
1.57
avg per match
xG against (Nublense)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Palestino)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NublenseNublense
WDWWL
PalestinoPalestino
LDLWW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Nublense36%
Draw29%
Palestino35%

Nublense leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nublense head into this in Primera División fixture at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas in mixed form (DW), while Palestino arrive in mixed form (LDLW). Nublense have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 25% for Palestino over 4 games.

The model rates Nublense's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Palestino defence, and Palestino's attack at 64/100 against a 66/100 Nublense backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Nublense have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Palestino have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Nublense and Palestino in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Nublense to win with 37% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Nublense 3558%, Draw 2926%, Palestino 3516%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Nublense

Nublense

W
vs O'Higgins
10 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Curico Unido
5 Jul 2026
22
W
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1 Jul 2026
10
W
vs Universidad de Concepcion
26 Jun 2026
42
L
@ Curico Unido
21 Jun 2026
01
Palestino

Palestino

L
@ A. Italiano
30 Jun 2026
23
D
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
27 Jun 2026
00
L
vs A. Italiano
24 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Magallanes
20 Jun 2026
41
W
vs D. La Serena
16 May 2026
51

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nublense vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts Nublense to win with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Palestino?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Nublense vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nublense vs Palestino?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more