Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nublense are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while O'Higgins are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40