GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 1/27/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nublense are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Magallanes are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nublense

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NublenseWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
MagallanesLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
NublenseMagallanes
43.1Attack40.0
58.8Defence45.6
51.0Form32.2
53.1Power41.8
1.57xG0.87
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