Nublensevs
Magallanes
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 1/27/2023, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Nublense are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Magallanes are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00