Nublensevs
Everton de Vina
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton de Vina · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nublense 1-3 Everton de Vina
Original prediction
Everton de Vina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.5% | 34.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.8% | 28.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.7% | 37.0% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Everton de Vina
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Everton de Vina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80