GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 3/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nublense · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nublense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while D. La Serena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nublense

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NublenseWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
D. La SerenaWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NublenseD. La Serena
43.1Attack49.1
58.8Defence45.6
51.0Form40.4
53.1Power46.2
1.54xG1.08
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