Nublensevs
Coquimbo Unido
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coquimbo Unido · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nublense 2-1 Coquimbo Unido
Original prediction
Coquimbo Unido
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 31.1% | 31.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.2% | 26.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.7% | 41.3% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Coquimbo Unido
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Coquimbo Unido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20