Nublensevs
Concepción
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nublense 0-1 Concepción
Original prediction
Nublense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 44.3% | 46.0% | 1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.5% | 28.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.2% | 26.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20