Nublensevs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/13/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Nublense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while A. Italiano are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60