Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-3 (9%), 0-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NTNUI 1-0 Volda
Original prediction
Volda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.49 | 12.1% | 16.1% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.10 | 17.8% | 18.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 70.2% | 65.3% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–48%
Predicted outcome
Volda
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Volda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NTNUIWLWDL
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VoldaWWDWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NTNUIVolda
51.5Attack89.4
27.3Defence63.6
37.9Form74.2
41.4Power73.6
1.18xG4.19