Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nardo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NTNUI 2-5 Nardo
Original prediction
Nardo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.7% | 33.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.2% | 19.5% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.1% | 47.0% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–35%
Predicted outcome
Nardo
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Nardo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NTNUIWDLWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NardoWWWLL
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NTNUINardo
48.3Attack73.7
30.0Defence24.6
36.7Form40.4
40.9Power46.0
2.48xG3.07