Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Melhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NTNUI 1-1 Melhus
Original prediction
Melhus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.97 | 30.2% | 22.8% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.5% | 21.6% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 1.94 | 46.3% | 55.6% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
Melhus
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Melhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NTNUILWWLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MelhusWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NTNUIMelhus
48.6Attack76.4
29.2Defence59.7
38.9Form56.9
41.5Power63.1
1.27xG3.37