Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Herd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
NTNUI are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Herd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Herd hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the 3. Division - Girone 2, while Herd holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Herd
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
8.4%
Herd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60