UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 9 July 2026Last updated 14:56
NSI Runavik

NSI Runavik

Home
WD
11
Full time
Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans

Away
LD
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
NSI Runavik(39%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
NSI Runavik
39%
Draw
26%
Hamrun Spartans
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
NSI Runavik
54
Hamrun Spartans
34
Defence
NSI Runavik
66
Hamrun Spartans
46
Momentum
NSI Runavik
67
Hamrun Spartans
17
Danger (xG)
NSI Runavik
1.35
Hamrun Spartans
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (NSI Runavik)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Hamrun Spartans)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (NSI Runavik)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Hamrun Spartans)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NSI RunavikNSI Runavik
WDDDW
Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
LDW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
NSI Runavik39%
Draw26%
Hamrun Spartans35%

NSI Runavik leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

NSI Runavik head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture in mixed form (WD), while Hamrun Spartans arrive in mixed form (LD). NSI Runavik have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Hamrun Spartans over 2 games.

The model rates NSI Runavik's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Hamrun Spartans defence, and Hamrun Spartans's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 NSI Runavik backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

NSI Runavik have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match. Hamrun Spartans have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

NSI Runavik have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects NSI Runavik to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: NSI Runavik 3909%, Draw 2630%, Hamrun Spartans 3461%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

NSI Runavik 1Draws 10 Hamrun Spartans
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 2/2
16 Jul 2026
NSI Runavik
W21
Hamrun Spartans
9 Jul 2026
NSI Runavik
D11
Hamrun Spartans

Recent form

NSI Runavik

NSI Runavik

W
@ Hamrun Spartans
16 Jul 2026
21
D
vs Hamrun Spartans
9 Jul 2026
11
D
vs KI Klaksvik
3 Jul 2026
00
D
@ Vikingur Gota
29 Jun 2026
33
W
@ 07 Vestur
17 May 2026
30
Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans

L
vs NSI Runavik
16 Jul 2026
12
D
@ NSI Runavik
9 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Valletta FC
15 May 2026
20

Frequently asked questions

Who will win NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

GoalVio's model predicts NSI Runavik to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NSI Runavik vs Hamrun Spartans?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more