Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanløse · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Næsby 2-2 Vanløse
Original prediction
Vanløse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 15:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.1% | 33.4% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 25.7% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 40.9% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Vanløse
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Vanløse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NæsbyLWWDL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VanløseDWDDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
NæsbyVanløse
60.6Attack48.5
51.5Defence72.7
51.5Form60.6
54.4Power62.4
1.06xG1.33