Næsbyvs
Hørsholm-Usserød
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Næsby 4-3 Hørsholm-Usserød
Original prediction
Næsby
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 49.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 20.5% | 27.3% | 6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NæsbyLWWDL
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Hørsholm-UsserødLWDWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NæsbyHørsholm-Usserød
60.0Attack60.0
46.7Defence33.3
46.7Form33.3
50.7Power44.0
2.12xG1.53