Næsbyvs
Holbæk B&I
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Næsby 1-2 Holbæk B&I
Original prediction
Holbæk B&I
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.86 | 31.6% | 32.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.0% | 23.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.5% | 44.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Holbæk B&I
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60