Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Næsby are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Frem are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the 3. Division, while Næsby holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80