Næsbyvs
FC Helsingor
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Næsby 1-1 FC Helsingor
Original prediction
Næsby
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 40.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.8% | 23.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.8% | 36.0% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NæsbyLLWLW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FC HelsingorWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NæsbyFC Helsingor
61.9Attack52.4
42.9Defence57.1
47.6Form61.9
51.2Power60.4
1.66xG1.62