Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Næsby are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avarta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.8 against 42.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the 3. Division, while Næsby holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60