Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NSÍ II 1-2 ÍF II
Original prediction
ÍF II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 24.7% | 24.3% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 17.1% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 53.6% | 58.7% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NSÍ IIWLLWL
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ÍF IILWWLW
GF 17 · GA 10 · avg 3.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NSÍ IIÍF II
47.0Attack78.8
27.3Defence30.3
37.9Form50.0
38.3Power51.5
2.11xG3.38