Nürnberg Wvs
Bayer Leverkusen W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayer Leverkusen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nürnberg W 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen W
Original prediction
Bayer Leverkusen W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.46 | 10.6% | 17.6% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.29 | 16.9% | 18.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 72.5% | 64.3% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Bayer Leverkusen W
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Bayer Leverkusen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40