Nürnberg Wvs
1899 Hoffenheim W
COMPLETEDGermany · Frauen Bundesliga · 10/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nürnberg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nürnberg W 1-2 1899 Hoffenheim W
Original prediction
Nürnberg W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 30.9% | 38.4% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.0% | 23.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.1% | 38.2% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Nürnberg W
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Nürnberg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80