Nürnberg IIvs
Aubstadt
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nürnberg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nürnberg II 1-1 Aubstadt
Original prediction
Nürnberg II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.2% | 49.5% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.1% | 25.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.8% | 24.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Nürnberg II
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Nürnberg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60