GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novosibirsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Novosibirsk hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Novosibirsk holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Novosibirsk

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovosibirskDWDLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Metallurg LipetskDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
NovosibirskMetallurg Lipetsk
40.7Attack35.2
75.9Defence63.0
64.8Form50.0
63.0Power50.7
1.00xG0.47
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