GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/29/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Novosibirsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Forte Taganrog are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Novosibirsk hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (63.0 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Novosibirsk holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Novosibirsk

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovosibirskDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Forte TaganrogWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NovosibirskForte Taganrog
40.7Attack44.4
75.9Defence50.0
64.8Form44.4
63.0Power47.3
1.37xG0.59
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