Novosibirskvs
FK Sokol Saratov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novosibirsk 1-0 FK Sokol Saratov, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novosibirsk 0-0 FK Sokol Saratov
Original prediction
Novosibirsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.3% | 66.8% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 25.9% | 21.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 17.8% | 11.7% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.6 pts
Projected Score
Novosibirsk 1–0 FK Sokol Saratov
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Novosibirsk
Probability
66.8%
Model confidence
66.8%
Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80