Novosibirskvs
Dinamo Kirov
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 8/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novosibirsk 0-0 Dinamo Kirov, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novosibirsk 0-1 Dinamo Kirov
Original prediction
Novosibirsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.2% | 39.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 30.3% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.7% | 30.6% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Projected Score
Novosibirsk 0–0 Dinamo Kirov
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Novosibirsk
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60