Novosibirskvs
Dinamo Bryansk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 10/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novosibirsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novosibirsk 0-0 Dinamo Bryansk, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novosibirsk 2-0 Dinamo Bryansk
Original prediction
Novosibirsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.3% | 46.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.3% | 27.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 26.4% | 25.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.5 pts
Projected Score
Novosibirsk 0–0 Dinamo Bryansk
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Novosibirsk
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Novosibirsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00