Novosibirskvs
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alaniya Vladikavkaz · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novosibirsk 0-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novosibirsk 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Original prediction
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.0% | 28.6% | -18.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 27.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.9% | 44.4% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Projected Score
Novosibirsk 0–1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80