Novorizontinovs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino 0-0 Sport Recife, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino 2-1 Sport Recife
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 56.2% | 48.6% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.2% | 28.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 5.30 | 17.6% | 22.7% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino 0–0 Sport Recife
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80