Novorizontinovs
São Bernardo
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino 1-0 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino 0-0 São Bernardo
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 61.4% | 54.1% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 23.4% | 25.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 6.08 | 15.2% | 20.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.3 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80