Novorizontinovs
Ponte Preta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/12/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino 2-0 Ponte Preta, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino 5-1 Ponte Preta
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 89.0% | 84.7% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 12.19 | 7.7% | 10.5% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 28.78 | 3.3% | 4.8% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino 2–0 Ponte Preta
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
84.7%
Model confidence
84.7%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40