GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/22/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Novorizontino are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Juventude are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovorizontinoL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
JuventudeLLDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
NovorizontinoJuventude
50.8Attack36.5
68.3Defence81.0
52.4Form60.3
57.5Power60.7
0.76xG0.64
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