Novorizontinovs
Goias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino 1-0 Goias, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino 3-0 Goias
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.2% | 60.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.0% | 24.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.23 | 17.8% | 14.4% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino 1–0 Goias
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
60.8%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NovorizontinoDLDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GoiasLWWLL
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovorizontinoGoias
54.4Attack33.3
70.0Defence60.0
56.7Form46.7
60.7Power48.8
1.45xG0.53