GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Novorizontino 0-0 Cuiaba, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Novorizontino 1-1 Cuiaba

Original prediction

Novorizontino

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6855.4%51.2%-4.2 pts
Draw3.4227.2%30.3%3.1 pts
Away5.3517.4%18.5%1.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.2 pts

Projected Score

Novorizontino 0–0 Cuiaba

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Novorizontino

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NovorizontinoWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
CuiabaWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovorizontinoCuiaba
58.0Attack32.1
70.4Defence74.1
60.5Form48.1
63.1Power53.4
1.00xG0.51
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