Novorizontinovs
Avai
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino 1-0 Avai, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino 3-1 Avai
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 63.4% | 63.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.2% | 23.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 6.88 | 13.5% | 13.2% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino 1–0 Avai
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NovorizontinoWWWDL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AvaiLWWWL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NovorizontinoAvai
54.7Attack36.0
70.7Defence58.7
57.3Form38.7
61.1Power46.7
1.52xG0.55