Novorizontino U20vs
Aguai U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Novorizontino U20 3-0 Aguai U20, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novorizontino U20 1-0 Aguai U20
Original prediction
Novorizontino U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 83.1% | 75.5% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 7.82 | 11.5% | 14.3% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 16.60 | 5.4% | 10.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Projected Score
Novorizontino U20 3–0 Aguai U20
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino U20
Probability
75.5%
Model confidence
75.5%
Novorizontino U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 1 · GA 19 · avg 0.20/3.80