Novohrad Lučenecvs
Baník Kalinovo
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - Center · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novohrad Lučenec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Novohrad Lučenec 2-1 Baník Kalinovo
Original prediction
Novohrad Lučenec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.6% | 55.5% | 4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.3% | 22.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.1% | 21.9% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Novohrad Lučenec
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Novohrad Lučenec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20