Novi Pazarvs
Zemun
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novi Pazar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Novi Pazar 1-0 Zemun, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Novi Pazar 2-2 Zemun
Original prediction
Novi Pazar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.1% | 61.5% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.7% | 24.6% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 7.49 | 12.1% | 13.8% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Novi Pazar 1–0 Zemun
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Novi Pazar
Probability
61.5%
Model confidence
61.5%
Novi Pazar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Novi PazarDWDLW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
ZemunDLLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Novi PazarZemun
29.6Attack14.8
66.7Defence37.0
44.4Form7.4
48.7Power23.4
1.34xG0.49