GGOALVIO

Novi Pazar logoNovi PazarvsRadnicki 1923 logoRadnicki 1923

COMPLETED

Serbia · Super Liga · 7/30/2023, 4:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Novi Pazar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Radnicki 1923 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Radnicki 1923 hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Super Liga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Novi PazarLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Radnicki 1923WDDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Novi PazarRadnicki 1923
16.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence55.6
33.3Form33.3
36.8Power40.6
1.13xG1.14
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